Brief
March 2026
Cascade model flagged Hormuz risk weeks before the market reacted
N4EA modeled a Strait of Hormuz closure on Feb 12. The Strait closed on March 3. Our cascade model named the exact ports, timing, and vessel types ahead of traditional market data.
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May 2026
Heat risk and port disruption on Indian cold-chain corridors
93% of India's reefer capacity sits at two ports. Both ports face heat stress and Hormuz-driven rerouting at the same time. We quantify the impact for pharma exporters, cargo insurers, and investors.
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October 2025
Hurricane Melissa: cascade risk in global container trade networks
Direct exposure: 1.4-2.3% of container traffic. Network blast radius within 14 days: 92%. Hazard overlay methods underestimate supply chain risk. Here is why.
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